While it will not be the largest combat sports event of the summer, UFC 214 is certainly the biggest MMA event of the entire year. On top of the Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card includes two extra title bouts, contenders and enjoyable fights throughout.
Brad Taschuk of all MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a peek at where the betting odds have moved for all 12 fights since launching lines (indicated in brackets) were published and he gives his thoughts on each matchup. All traces are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favorite first time these two scrapped and some naively expected the line would be similar this time around. But, it seems that Jones’ legal issues, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the effect anticipated on the line. It’s difficult to blame bettors either, Cormier is now 38-years-old, has been through some tough battles since their first meeting, and Jones won each component of the first fight. Expect something like – if not dominant – this time around.
Regardless of how seriously he takes his groundwork, Jones is the type of fighter that rises to the occasion like others. To him, this is the greatest event. Cormier is his biggest rival and he’s the chance to recover the belt he never lost against him. That combination will lead to a tremendous performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch Cormier and re-assert his dominance in the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Similar to the main event, this line hasn’t seen much motion. Given the contrasting styles, that’s not tough to trust. There’s a contingent of individuals who think that Woodley is going to starch Maia using the first punch he yells. They might well be correct. The other side of the coin consists of those who believe that Maia can close the distance, latch onto Woodley like he has so many others and just dominate with his grappling. They could be right too. Woodley’s inclination to back himself against the cage and perform counter-puncher is going to be his demise here. Maia is becoming so good at entering the clinch if not under stress he ought to have the ability to make Woodley miss after. Despite a high level wrestler the likes of Woodley, after Maia gets his hands on you, that is a world of trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to commence Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting conventional takedowns is next to none (he has perfected the only leg to back take) and Woodley being the kind of guy who likes to explode from places will only hurt him once that happens. It’s kind of astonishing that Maia by Sub pays an excess buck (+275 as of Thursday morning), since Woodley won’t have the ability to endure 25 moments of Maia engaging in the type of fight he wants to. The other option is most likely a quick Woodley KO (+350 for your champ in Round 1, by the way).
Cristiane “Cyborg" Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This fight being bettable is dependent on what kind of bettor you are. In case you have no issue throwing a huge line in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at nearly -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are nearly sure things. If that’s not really your style, neither will probably be placing nearly 2-to-1 on a prop such as Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I can make for a drama is based on Evinger’s resilience. She’s taken damage in many of her struggles and persevered and she probably won’t return to conquer Cyborg in this one after a tough start, there’s an external shot she is able to endure five minutes. But even the costs for"Fight Starts Round two" and Cyborg Round 2 have dropped considerably (down to +150 and +450, respectively), making them less attractive even to someone who’s constantly on the search for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It is a shame this struggle is taking place after both men have apparently passed their peak in terms of durability, since a war with Lawler and Cerrone in their best would be a thing to behold. This battle will come down to space direction and in-fight decisions. Lawler would like to be indoors, Cerrone wants to be outside. The difficulty for Cerrone is that Lawler’s consistent pressure will eventually see him get indoors and at that point, anticipate Cerrone to be far too ready to oblige him that the warfare he is looking for. While that will grant us the kind of struggle we would like to see, don’t expect it to finish well for Cerrone.
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